AV for referendums?
We’ve had a referendum ON AV. What about referendums BY AV?
The Scottish Government is reported to be considering a three-way referendum on Scotland’s future in the UK and some UK MPs are demanding a three-way referendum on the UK’s future in the EU. In both referendums, the choice would be between:
• Retaining the status quo;
• Negotiating a new relationship within;
• Leaving.
Surely even the most adamant supporter of FPTP and opponent of AV in the recent referendum can see the danger of running a three-way referendum by FPTP.
Would supporters of compete independence accept the result if the status quo won with 33% of the votes with 32% for each of the other two options? How would supporters of the status quo feel about the opposite result? Come to think of it, how would any group feel about coming second in, say, a 44 – 42 – 14 vote?
Frankly, it would be unrealistic and rather silly to assume that the side that came second would accept any such result or that the public would have any faith in it.
The only sensible way to hold a three-way referendum is by AV. It would ensure that the result reflected the views of the majority of voters.
For the benefit of new readers, let’s explain how it works:
Voters would simply vote “1” for their first choice and “2” for their second.
All the first choices would be counted. If one of the three options had more than half the votes at that stage, it would be the winner.
If not, the losing option (in third place) would drop out and its votes would simply be transferred to the second choices of its supporters. Whichever of the two remaining options then had the more votes (i.e. over half) would be the winner.
Then we’d all know which option the majority of voters wanted. Don’t politicians want to know what the majority of voters think?
MP supports AV for EU referendum
Actually he called it STV but it's the same when voting to find one answer in a multi-question referendum.
Steven Baker (Wycombe, Conservative) in the Commons debate on 24 October 2011 about holding a referendum on EU membership:
"Surely my right hon. Friend must know as well as I do that preferential systems are used in this House for certain votes. Is it not equally the case that for some elections, first past the post is appropriate, and for others, a preferential system is appropriate? Why not have this three-way referendum on the basis of the single transferable vote, as we do in this House for other elections?"
AV for Referendums? Under no circumstances!!
See my blog post.